Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 90.256147 100.579207 111.074521 122.512973 134.598227 146.958946 160.528725
2025-08-24 74.304460 89.279418 105.121786 123.006999 142.519703 163.054955 186.194725
2025-08-31 63.393080 80.811026 99.806358 121.808189 146.355166 172.688126 202.867560
2025-09-07 56.576472 75.946395 97.625753 123.271351 152.397506 184.109550 220.921903
2025-09-14 51.317568 72.239937 96.210938 125.093548 158.395521 195.103185 238.161256
2025-09-21 45.402894 67.203544 92.793013 124.199786 160.951825 201.943610 250.502437
2025-09-28 39.506410 61.689694 88.394951 121.788223 161.439192 206.172357 259.662003
2025-10-05 37.648868 61.051923 89.723576 126.029469 169.556373 219.028225 278.540950
2025-10-12 35.238930 59.493122 89.759334 128.582408 175.582274 229.398284 294.522240
2025-10-19 31.660529 56.123165 87.324805 127.951520 177.682970 235.102192 305.046476
2025-10-26 28.448456 53.004891 85.020159 127.319141 179.649323 240.544667 315.181407
2025-11-02 26.094160 50.900821 83.889185 128.037802 183.159633 247.734876 327.295417
2025-11-09 23.290963 47.981572 81.582834 127.213581 184.772692 252.703550 336.876418
2025-11-16 21.144433 45.864922 80.233517 127.524763 187.722053 259.227250 348.267431
2025-11-23 18.690062 43.073617 77.816644 126.332196 188.706780 263.320293 356.725974
2025-11-30 17.314256 41.857430 77.497682 127.821039 192.999757 271.369944 369.858287
2025-12-07 16.164384 40.911491 77.495563 129.682193 197.730148 279.930855 383.591290
2025-12-14 14.309207 38.629868 75.478630 128.769626 198.878934 284.086648 392.024641
2025-12-21 12.213561 35.717427 72.399493 126.307426 197.956508 285.638516 397.275359
2025-12-28 12.018215 36.185673 74.304179 130.637484 205.773891 297.940412 415.488983
2026-01-04 11.412418 35.844741 74.967710 133.243267 211.353266 307.481720 430.375910
2026-01-11 10.093494 34.031197 73.324431 132.599362 212.670653 311.722001 438.826187
2026-01-18 8.890087 32.303518 71.726575 131.953908 213.937934 315.865905 447.134552